Friday, August 21, 2009

So then I began researching assimilation

...since it was on the topic- while my previous post was an interesting theory of where some Jews could have ended up, this is something accurately painful that leaves no room for doubt.

Will Your Grandchildren Be Jews?

REVISTED 10 YEARS LATER
By: Antony Gordon and Richard Horowitz[1]

Sample Population Count (Jewish growth rate)

Average Number of Children Per Woman
(NAJDB based on NJPS 2000)
Intermarriage Rate
(NJPS 2000)
First Generation Second Generation Third Generation Fourth Generation
Hasidic / Yeshiva Orthodox ^ 6.72** 6%* 100 324 1,050 3,401
Centrist Orthodox ^ 3.39** 6%* 100 163 266 434
Conservative 1.74 32% 100 66 44 29
Reform 1.36 46% 100 46 21 10
Secular 1.29 49% 100 41 17 7

CLICK HERE TO SEE THE NEW CHART(see chart to view explanation of *, **, ^)

In the Fall of 1996, the Jewish Spectator [2] published our analysis of the data collected during the National Jewish Population Survey ("NJPS”) of 1990. In October 1996, Moment magazine[3] published the chart ("the Demographic Chart”) which captured the text of our research with a graphic illustration.

Within only a few years after the Moment debut, the Demographic Chart (and the essence of our analysis culminating in our findings) had been translated into seven languages and had appeared in numerous publications including The New York Times [4] and The Vanishing American Jew by Professor Alan M. Dershowitz.[5] The Demographic Chart has been publicly cited by many notable Jewish personalities including, but not limited to the former Chief Rabbi of Israel, Rabbi Israel Meir Lau, former Chief Rabbi of England, Lord Immanuel Jacobovitz, Senator Joseph Lieberman and former Prime Minister of Israel Bibi Netanyahu.

It became clear that the main reasons for the multiple appearances of our analysis as well as the high profile that it developed, was the powerful impact of the Demographic Chart which we have now, almost a decade after its first appearance, revisited in this article.

For the sake of clarity and to appreciate how the Jewish demographic landscape has evolved over the past decade, we have utilized a similar format in this article to its namesake published after the culmination of the NJPS 1990.

From the best site on the world wide web, Simple To Remember: http://www.simpletoremember.com/articles/a/WillYourGrandchildrenBeJews/

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